First Favourite

[Matron]

06/07/2001   -   2:00  Warwick  -  First Favourite  -  1st 6-4

(Edited by Matron at 6:55 pm on July 6, 2001)

[Matron]

June Results

68% Strike Rate

9.81 Level Stake Profit

[Matron]

07/07/2001  -  2.00 Beverley  - First Favourite  -  1st 8-11

(Edited by Matron at 2:11 pm on July 7, 2001)

[Matron]

09/07/2001  -  No Selection

[Matron]

10/07/2001  -  3:05  Newmarket  -  First Favourite  -  1st  3-10

(Edited by Matron at 3:13 pm on July 10, 2001)

[Matron]

11/07/2001  -   20:45 Worcester - First Favourite  -  1st 5-6

(Edited by Matron at 9:30 pm on July 11, 2001)

[Matron]

12/07/2001  -  4:55 Woverhampton  -  First Favourite  -  1st 2-5

(Edited by Matron at 5:05 pm on July 12, 2001)

[Posts: 530Joined: 06 Jul 2001, 22:56]

Matron,

Am I missing something??

Why is there not a selection everyday??

3.05, 20.45, 4.55. Last three selections are not the first race of the day??

Previous results have been excellent by the way.

Cheers

hudsonmat

[Posts: 1201Joined: 24 Dec 2000, 03:48Location: coventry]

just out of interest matron why do you think the first fav of the day will do better than ALL favs for example?? is it due to the nature of the first race of the day or maybe due to the betting habits of punters??

[Matron]

I must admit I have modified the rules slightly over the last few selections as I really did not have a "gut" feeling over the selection or the odds were far too short  - although, some of the last few have been very short prices. I am also not keen on apprentice or handicap races.

I concentrate on the meeting of the day of where the most favourites oblige - normally the first race tends to<br>be the one. Today, for instance Chester has a strike rate of 37.3% for favourites and looks like the first race should oblige. The first favourite is forecast "4-6", but the last race is a "classified stakes" of which "favourites" have a reasonable chance and the "favourite" is forecast at "10-11". I will probably go for the last at Chester because the forecast odds are slightly better.

I do not post a selection everyday unless I feel comfortable about doing so. Sundays there is never a selection as I am always away.

Regards - Matron<br>:cool:

[Matron]

13/07/2001  -  21:20 -  Chester - First Favourite   -  1st 5-4

(Edited by Matron at 10:09 pm on July 13, 2001)

[Matron]

14/07/2001  -  2:20 Chester  -  First Favourite  -  1st 5-6

(Edited by Matron at 3:09 pm on July 14, 2001)

[Matron]

16/07/2001  -  3:30 Newton Abbot  -  First Favourite  -  1st 11-10

(Edited by Matron at 4:40 pm on July 16, 2001)

[Matron]

17/07/2001  -  No Selection

[Matron]

18/07/2001   -  18:30 Worcester  -  First Favourite  -  2nd

(Edited by Matron at 7:32 pm on July 18, 2001)