Gingers Flat Winners

[Posts: 653Joined: 06 Apr 2006, 10:33Location: Welwyn Garden City]

I read it as you lashing out 63% of your money on one race!! I really should read things more thoroughly.

FWIW I bet in percentage points of my bank, on three separate scales, depending on what I believe to be my level of knowledge of the event I am betting on. Works for me and allows me to do only some of my brains on a Novice Hunter Chase at Ludlow.

I too was on Kings Gambit (3(%)) and have to say it was a cracking ride by Jamie Spencer, which is something I don't recall saying before.

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

Betting a percentage of the bank is another way of doing things Librettist.
For me, I'd rather bet the same amount on two horses I believe have the same chance of winning and same amount of value in the bet. ie not changing by how much is in the bank. Just taking a look at the bank / staking size once a season. It's a matter of what each punter is comfortable with.

Is it my imagination, or is Jamie making the running more this year? Thought he might have gone off too quickly at one point. Good ride.

[Posts: 653Joined: 06 Apr 2006, 10:33Location: Welwyn Garden City]

Beware the long losing streak...!

Haven't noticed a particular change of approach from Spencer, and aside from the occasional hold-up 'Hollywood' ride that comes unstuck I have always thought he was a decent enough rider. Plus he's been married to the lovely Emma and linked with the lovely Hayley so you have to take your hat off to him for that alone. That's a nice book of rides. I just thought yesterday that he knew his horses capabilities, had assessed the race and hatched a plan. Not many horses can be ridden so aggressively and not fold in the latter stages (Ramonti is another who springs to mind) but Kings Gambit is obviously one of them.

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

2000 Guineas
13 points each way @ 16/1 (WH, VC bog) Casamento

I'm already down on this race, got an ante-post bet on Dream Ahead . Will bring it over to this thread, along with a bet on Havant for the 1000

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

1000 Guineas
23 points @ 9/1 (C, sky) Hooray

Will get the Havant bet over to this thread.

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

3:45 Newmarket
37 points @ best early price (in pricewise box) Astrophysical Jet

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

2:30 Newmarket
45 points @ 9/4 (b365) Dandino

Soooooo tired after finishing my totetentofollow lists at 4:00 am last night and then up at 8:30 this morning. eyes are forced open with sticks. Missed the best price Dandino, not quite as good value as it could have been, but good enough. May be best suited by the possibility of a slow pace. Not convinced yet that Laaheb is as goon on a firm surface. Dandino the one on the up. Might come back with a saver later on.

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

2000 Guineas
13 points each way @ 16/1 (WH, VC bog) Casamento

I'm already down on this race, got an ante-post bet on Dream Ahead . Will bring it over to this thread, along with a bet on Havant for the 1000

From last year's thread:
Fri Oct 01, 2010 2:25 pm

Postby Gingertipster on Fri Oct 01, 2010 2:25 pm
2011 2000 Guineas

23 points @ 8/1 (bsq) Dream Ahead

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

1000 Guineas
23 points @ 9/1 (C, sky) Hooray

Will get the Havant bet over to this thread.

Another one from the other thread:
Fri Dec 03, 2010 6:31 pm

Postby Gingertipster on Fri Dec 03, 2010 6:31 pm
RUK's 2010 review reminded me of bets I had back in early October. With a lot hapening on the day forgot to put them on here. So will do so at todays prices.
These bet will be added to next years thread when it starts.

1000 Guineas of 2011
21 points @ 12/1 (pp) Havant

2011 Oaks
17 points @ 12/1 (pp) Havant

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

2000 Guineas
13 points each way @ 16/1 (WH, VC bog) Casamento

I'm already down on this race, got an ante-post bet on Dream Ahead . Will bring it over to this thread, along with a bet on Havant for the 1000

From last year's thread:
Fri Oct 01, 2010 2:25 pm

Postby Gingertipster on Fri Oct 01, 2010 2:25 pm
2011 2000 Guineas

23 points @ 8/1 (bsq) Dream Ahead

4 points @ 13/1 (betfair, betting without Frankel) Saamidd

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

Epsom Derby:
26 points @ 10/1 (b365 bog) Seville

Seville had no right to do as well as he did as a two year old. In a short space of time, making his debut on 25th September. Reaching Group 1 level when a close second in the Racing Post within a month. Breeding suggests will not come in to his own until running over 1m4f+. By Galileo out of Arc 8th Silverskaya who won at 1m4f. Her sire Silver Hawk is a stamina influence, responsible for such as Mubtaker, Mutafaweq and Benny The Dip. Silver Hawk's sire Roberto won the Derby. Maternal grand-dam's sire Niniski an even greater stamina influence of Arc (Hernando) and St Leger (Minster Son) winners. Fact he came so close in a good ground Racing Post suggests he'll have enough speed too.

LAY
150 points @ 5/1 (betfair) Frankel
(to win 30 points)

Won't stay.

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

2:30 Newmarket
45 points @ 9/4 (b365) Dandino 1st Return 146.25 points
(45)
101.25 points profit

2000 Guineas Newmarket
13 points each way @ 16/1 (WH, VC bog) Casamento

23 points @ 8/1 (bsq) Dream Ahead
And also:
4 points @ 13/1 (betfair, betting without Frankel) Saamidd

-53 points

3:45 Newmarket
37 points @ best early price (in pricewise box) 9/2 Astrophysical Jet
-37 points

Days Stakes 135 points, Days Return 146.25, Days Profit 11.25 points

Total Staked 336 points, Total Return 564.25, Total Profit 228.25 points

[Posts: 12272Joined: 22 Dec 2007, 19:24]

2:35 Newmarket
18 points @ 10/1 (b365) Chachamaidee
28 points @ 11/2 (VC, SJ) Mirror Lake
10 points @ 5/1 (b365) Field Day
4 points @ 14/1 (b365) I'm A Dreamer