Zam....Bam......Thankya Mam.....!

[Posts: 1962Joined: 15 Mar 2010, 00:56]

Well played Zam.

[Posts: 806Joined: 25 Feb 2008, 00:23Location: Not far from Ponte!]

Cheers for those, was a truly memorable day and just goes to show anyone can do it when things fall their way!

I said early on in the thread that at the odds I'll be looking at, one winner could swing things round, three have really turned it for me though. A 79.63 profit on the day thanks in part aswell to the best odds guarantee coming into play and all three staked at Betvic would have returned a 363/1 treble, not a bad days work!


Just found the one I fancy today and a bit annoyed with meself for missing the opening price yesterday as it was 9/2 first show and is now 11/4 best. Will probably drift a bit later as I'm not fully trusting these early markets and early movers nowadays, think Bet365 and Betvic are playing games a bit, limiting what you can put on and cutting prices with hardly any money being put down, creating false looking markets. Anyway, the one I fancy....

3.55 - Kempton - Now

Think this race will involve the front two in the market fighting out the finish. Maybe I'm backing because the horse let me down last time (which can be dangerous) but it has a 6lb pull with the favourite and I strongly believe Now would have finished a lot closer last time with a better ride and more luck in running. With those today and the extra furlong I reckon Now will win the race. Fire In Babylon is obviously open to further improvement too, just think Now is the one to be on today...

6pt win @11/4 (Bet365) B.O.G


Running totals...

Selections - 10
Wins - 3
Place profit - 1
Losses - 6

+56.13pts

[Posts: 806Joined: 25 Feb 2008, 00:23Location: Not far from Ponte!]

Ah well, wasn't meant to be for Now and couldn't back up my exellent Saturday! Not the happiest with James Millman though and will question whether to back him again....rode a dreadful race when the horse came 4th on it's penultimate run and then decides to front run yesterday when every time he's rode it before it's been held up, never mind though still in good profit...


One I like the look of tomorrow...

1.50 - Southwell - Imprimis Tagula


Not the way to the rich house backing in sellers but couldn't let this one pass. Back after a break at a course it's done very well at previously and if turning up fit and anywhere near it's best, will be surely too good for this field....

4pt win @SP


Running totals...

Selections - 11
Wins - 3
Place profit - 1
Losses - 7

+50.13pts

[Posts: 1638Joined: 15 Nov 2010, 22:01]

Well played Zam,3 out of 3 last Saturday reads well,must have paid over 200/1 as a treble,keep up the good work,Cheltenhams looming and you have to go into the worlds greatest festival confident!

[Posts: 806Joined: 25 Feb 2008, 00:23Location: Not far from Ponte!]

Yeah cheers for that, was a good day for sure....all weather seems to be letting me down badly as Imprimis another loser shows....fancy one tomorrow but am gonna leave the all weather for now and concentrate on jumps....Watch it win tomorrow now (Gask's with De Silva on)...

Running totals...

Selections - 12
Wins - 3
Place profit - 1
Losses - 8

+46.13pts


ps... no fears for Cheltenham at all, got plenty of winners already in bets....think this year will be my greatest of all time!!...shame my ante-post betfair hurdle bet has gone tits up though..

[Posts: 806Joined: 25 Feb 2008, 00:23Location: Not far from Ponte!]

I must be insane!!

No sooner have I declared on here I'm leaving the all weather alone I'm drawn back in again tomorrow, for one FINAL time (if no joy!)...

Cannot let this one slip by though because been waiting ages and must have lost more money on this one horse than any other for a while thinking 'today must be the day'...

Well, I think tomorrow could well be the day for....

13.20 - Lingfield - Chjimes


As I say, been waiting for a win for this one for ages as it's surely back on a winning mark and seems to look like it will win next time out every run.....tomorrow's race looks very winnable and I'm sure it will go desperately close and hopefully WIN!!

8pt win @3/1 (Betvictor) B.O.G

[Posts: 1050Joined: 13 Dec 2008, 08:29Location: Hereford]

Good luck Zam, can't have him at all looks well short of speed for 5f these days! amazed he was so short this morning! Plenty of good bets to be had on the all weather don't turn it in just yet!

[Posts: 1050Joined: 13 Dec 2008, 08:29Location: Hereford]

well done sir!

[Posts: 806Joined: 25 Feb 2008, 00:23Location: Not far from Ponte!]

Haha cheers mate! Think it's safe to say that was more a sentiment than sensible bet, funny how this game works though and the old dog prevails for another winner and some nice profit!! Reckon the horse still owes me though....


Only going to go with one for tomorrow despite fancying another couple strongly....will be my first maximum 10 pt bet aswell as I'm very confident of a big run.....

2.50 - Doncaster - Wayward Prince


I'm predicting a bold showing tomorrow off a mark of 146 for this horse, just a lb lower than a fine effort in last seasons RSA at the end of an excellent season of novice chasing.

This season has been visibly tougher but I believe I've seen enough in the last two runs to suggest this horse certainly has the ability to be very, very competitive tomorrow.

I think Timmy Murphy will settle the horse out like he has been doing and will creep into it late on and deliver his challenge to perfection and this time see the race out strongly like he's failed to do the last couple after coming into the races promisingly...

Already a course winner at Doncaster and no problem with the ground....the huge thing for me tomorrow is the fantastic recent form of the Ian Williams yard....his horses are in terrific form and I think his stable star can bounce right back to his best tomorrow and be right in the shake up!

5pts ew (Maximum) @8/1 (Bet365) B.O.G

Running total...

Selections - 13
Wins - 4
Place profit - 1
Losses - 8

+78.13pts

[Posts: 806Joined: 25 Feb 2008, 00:23Location: Not far from Ponte!]

Well, so disappointed with Wayward Prince, never went a yard really on a day when everything looked right and was backed accordingly...that's the game though....


Really fancy one at a price tomorrow....

13.40 - Taunton - Hobbs Dream


With the Mullholland stable back in better form...a win a 2nd and a 3rd from last 3 runners I'm taking Hobbs Dream to bounce back to the type of form she was in around 12 months ago, which saw her record 2 very impressive victories off marks of 75....having flirted in the 100's and 90's she's now back down to a much more realistic mark (83) and if she can get over what was a heavy looking fall last time out she should certainly be competitive off this mark tomorrow for me.

She won 2/2 in January last year as mentioned above and also 1/1 in January the year before which is another positive....hoping the ground gets a bit softer, as she loves to get her toe in..

Bet365 the only ones to price up and you may only be able to get peanuts on but I think they've overpriced her...

3pts ew @16/1 (Bet365) B.O.G

Running totals...

Selections - 14
Wins - 4
Place profit - 1
Losses - 9

+68.13pts

[Posts: 806Joined: 25 Feb 2008, 00:23Location: Not far from Ponte!]

I think that's what you could call a Bobby Dazzler!!

Don't ya just love it when the B.O.G comes into play.....

Had a quick look through tomorrow's cards and although my confidence is sky high and form is very good at present, there's nothing I really fancy...


Running totals...

Selections - 15
Wins - 5
Place profit - 1
Losses - 9

+161.88pts

[Posts: 1638Joined: 15 Nov 2010, 22:01]

Really fancy one at a price tomorrow....

13.40 - Taunton - Hobbs Dream

Bet365 the only ones to price up and you may only be able to get peanuts on but I think they've overpriced her...

3pts ew @16/1 (Bet365) B.O.G

Romps in at 25/1,superb write up too! Well Done Zam,keep up the good work,25/1 winners dont come along everyday!Excellent stuff!

[Posts: 806Joined: 25 Feb 2008, 00:23Location: Not far from Ponte!]

Cheers mate, trying to rival people like your good self with these juicy priced ones, hopefully consistently over a long period of time too! Got a lovely bank to play with now anyway...

25/1 winners....they don't come along very often you're right! On second look though I've found one I'm interested in at a price so am hoping it's like a case of big priced winners been like buses....none for ages and then two together.

3.30 - Leicester - Numide

Now there's a couple of penalised last time out winners in this at the head of the market, but I reckon the old boy can re-discover some of his better form to give them a good go tomorrow..

All his best form is on soft or heavy going which it looks like being tomorrow. He goes off a mark of (119) tomorrow, that's 6lb less than his last winning mark at Bangor in March last year...

Two previous runs at the course have yielded a first and a second....I'd have liked to have seen a couple of the stables horses run a bit better but 2 winners in January says there shouldn't be a problem there really...

Big key to this though for me is the mark (119) and it's overall form on sft/hvy ground, looks to like the course so should be there or thereabouts for me if a few of the more fancied runners don't back up their previous wins....

Firstly hope the meeting gets the go ahead and hope they all go to post so it's the dead eight....

3pts ew @20/1 (Ladbrokes) B.O.G...