TAPK (Cheltenham wagers)

[Posts: 1638Joined: 15 Nov 2010, 22:01]

Thank you guys,praise from fellow contributors who aren't afraid to put their heads on the line themselves is much appreciated.Its been a brilliant festival as usual and to finish in profit is always the plan! Of all my many bets i can honestly say that I have been dissapointed with only 2 horses, Al Ferof and Sea of Thunder.I have tried to put up my banker bets of the week with reasons as to why I have fancied them and again they never let me down,every horse ran in exactly the race I predicted after what seemed like 'Musical Chairs' So I have been lucky!
Darlan, 12/1, Get me out of Here,16/1, First Lieutenant,20/1, Medermit, 20/1, and Kumbeshwar, 16/1, all showed a good placed profit, Trifolium,14/1, Four commanders,12/1, Kalzian, 10/1, Chapoturgeon,7/1, Toner doudairies,10/1 and Alasi,20/1 never lost me money and Sir des Champs 12/1, Sunnyhill Boy, 16/1 and the legend Synchronised 16/1 all won at prices only Foresight will find! For the record I also backed Cape Tribulation at 25/1 and Bellvano at 25/1,call me all the aftertiming B*stards you like.I dont mind! 366 days of study pays off yet again and I am knackered! Tom Segal you are still the 2nd best judge of a horse! Thank you and Goodnight.

[Posts: 36Joined: 18 Jun 2011, 05:43Location: London]

Loyalty does indeed pay off... Cape Tribulation made my Cheltenham - despite an unsatisfactory Friday. In my defense, i didn't believe Attaglance could handle an extra 9lbs, let alone ground that wasn't particularly kind to mudlarks (although in hindsight i should've taken Reindeer Dippin's strong run behind CT as a sign). Should loyalty be blind? Somehow i don't believe so.

Nice to see you had a good week, Kingfisher - thought i'd pop back for a quick cuppa.

[Posts: 1638Joined: 15 Nov 2010, 22:01]

Wildman,weren't you the guy who followed me over a cliff towards the end of the flat season? Patience is a virtue and Confidence is King!

[Posts: 1058Joined: 25 Mar 2011, 11:32Location: Catterick, N Yorkshire]

KF: Awesome festival with some cracking results I feel somewhat guilty as despite sending a few good uns your way this season I was also guilty of nudging you towards Horation Hornblower! If I had half a brain I would have known the horse was a year too young (shakesheadindisbelief at not checking trends until it was too late!). However I still believe he will turn out to be a decent type

Happily I had already backed Hunt Ball before your reply and what a brave horse that one is! Nice for a small trainer and owner to 'find' that lil beauty!

On to the other races:

Negatives: How disappointing were both Sea of Thunder and Weird Al (never looked like getting competitive let alone winning!!). Al Ferof (like many of Nicholls team) looked wrong and ran far too bad to be true! Shame about Batonnier getting injured BUT would he have got close to Simonsig? We will never know.

Positives: GMOOH ran another cracker, getting to be the bravest but unlickiest handicapper in training! Jumping aboard Cape Tribulation was sound BUT ignoring the same yards ATAGLANCE purely because he had gone up too far was shameful and stupid!

Flight Lieutenant was extremely unlucky IMO to have to make his own running in the end, Davy had no choice as the lad was pulling his arms off! Without doubt this stopped him finishing but a nice EW bet all the same and I am sure we have not seen the best of him yet!

SIMONSIG was imperious, jumped swiftly and from fully half a mile out looked the only winner, what a shame I backed him for the Supreme too before they went NRNB Again what a jumper, where will they head next year? Originally the plan was chasing BUT he looked so good they may have to wait another year, maybe the Champion Hurdle as that department looks weak?

SDC was without doubt my most enjoyable winner what an awesome exhibition of jumping he gave, possibly the best of the week! He will be back for the Gold Cup, cannot see them waiting a year and taking in the Ryanair, let them all battle it out in the Gold Cup

Finally, just in case you missed it, re-run the end of the Triumph Hurdle!! Ruby had been outpaced out the back and was just getting into contention when he slipped on landing, the horse tried everything he could to stay up and would have got 2nd or even better!! One for the future especially when upped in trip, maybe at Aintree.

The Nicholls horses from Ditcheat were dire!! Thankfully the satellite yard held their own! I for one will be watching closely as the Ditcheat gang start running this week-end! Once they are right, we can start to lump on for Aintree and Punchestown

[Posts: 1058Joined: 25 Mar 2011, 11:32Location: Catterick, N Yorkshire]

Zarks: Still think SDC is bad?

[Posts: 1638Joined: 15 Nov 2010, 22:01]

You are a good judge GDC.You assessed Hunt Ball better than me! I hope you took the 12/1! You are also bang on about First Lieutenant, the tactics hindered rather than helped his chances like you say,he's still a Gold Cup horse to me and the pace of that race will suit him perfectly.I would still love to see Sir des Champs in the Ryanair if that were the case!


I've had a £50 (Henderson) acca,, Simonsig,Arkle, Darlan,Champion hurdle, Sprinter Sacre, Champion chase, Finians Rainbow, Ryanair, Bobs Worth Gold Cup! It will make me a Million pounds!

[Posts: 1058Joined: 25 Mar 2011, 11:32Location: Catterick, N Yorkshire]

What a great story Hunt Ball is Only got 10s but happy enough!

Good luck with your acca, maybe a year too late

[Posts: 6638Joined: 21 Oct 2008, 00:37]

Absolutely convinced Darlan is the real deal in this and wouldn't swap him for anything,obviously he needs luck in running but granted a clear passage he wins! Trifolium and Simenon at a big price to chase him home!

Three of my Cheltenham horses for 2013,Still convinced Darlan is the new 'Binocular' and have backed him at 25/1 down for the Champion hurdle. I rated the Grade 2 'Moscow flyer' form and still think the winner Trifolium looks a natural Arkle horse but the surprise package is now Simenon,he dissapointed me in the 'Supreme' a race I rate higher than most but he's proved at Ascot that the real horse is back,my dilemma is 'Champion hurdle' or 'World hurdle' I've taken 66/1 with Corals for the former and 33/1 for the latter with the same firm.Great to see Simenon show his true potential,we'll hear a lot more of him next NH season!

[Posts: 6638Joined: 21 Oct 2008, 00:37]

I've had a £50 (Henderson) acca,, Simonsig,Arkle, Darlan,Champion hurdle, Sprinter Sacre, Champion chase, Finians Rainbow, Ryanair, Bobs Worth Gold Cup! It will make me a Million pounds!

I was sitting pretty until last Monday!
4/1 Simonsig, 20/1 Darlan, 2/1 Sprinter Sacre
7/1 Finians Rainbow and 7/1 Bobs Worth