A few more outliers from the weekend’s racing :
Cosmic Halo won 33/1 3.35 York Sunday 8/9/13
Confessional won 15/2 2.05 Haydock Saturday 7/9/13
Redvers won 8/1 1.55 Ascot Saturday 7/9/13
Storm Moon won 10/1 5.55 Thirsk Saturday 7/9/13
Redvers
is not the easiest to win with as he has to be covered up as much as possible. His race cooment for his Haydock win earlier in the season says a lot ‘going well when not much room over 2f out until well over 1f out, angled into clear approaching final furlong, pushed along to lead final 100yds, kept on well’. Sometimes running into trouble helps a hold up horse like this one. I backed him at Newmarket when he was fifth and I thought he ran creditably in coming fifth if never quite looking like winning. I couldn’t make out a strong case for anything over the field on Saturday.
The point about Redvers is that far from being unpreditable he is actually very consistent. He competes regularly in these ultra-competitive he’s regularly in the mix and has only been beaten over 5 lengths in 4 races out of 28 in his career. This season he has been within 3.25 lengths of the winner in all bar one race, arguably meriting a single figure price. That’s a competitive animal at Class 2 level.
Confessional
is a win in turn sprinter who is comeptitve at Class 2 level on his day, and notably had fallen to a mark of 94, a pound below the mark he won off at Chester in 1012. The field cut up to ten runners which probably helped and he does act on soft. Anyway, he presumably doesn’t mind his racing and got word that he was in last chance saloon!
Incidentally take a note of
Racy
who once again was backed to a single figure price but he’s only ever won twice in 30 runs and beat only 8 horses in those two races.
Storm Moon
has been kept busy but was coming off his closest effort for some while having been beaten only 2 lengths at Chester last time. He has been highly tried in Class 2 and Class 3 events all season and it’s notable that he has dropped to Class 4 for his latest two runs. He might be worth a go on the all-weather if Mark Johnston can find a race as he has run two artificial surface races and won them both. He’s on a amrk of 85 on A/W so there should be something out there for which he qualifies.
Cosmic Halo
? Not a clue! But then sh*t happens and I hadn’t realised that horses starting at 33/1 weren’t allowed to win now and again, say every 50 races or so…
Keep ’em coming because this is turning into a handy lesson for spotting how horses can pop up at decent odds!
Rob